The Las Vegas Dealer
for 5/1/99
Gambling: Is it luck or maybe something else?
Why do dice or cards fall as they do? Why are there
cold and hot streaks? Why do certain gambling
machines pay off but not others? Consult
statisticians or actuaries and you will be buried in
theories about the laws of probability, statistical
averages, parametric curves and inductive logic.
However, a large percentage of people who go into
casinos are neither privy to such information nor wish
to be bothered with such dull things.
When the statistical aspects of gambling are
disregarded we search for other reasons to explain why
things happen. These happenings are often attributed
to forces that are effected by certain actions on our
part, namely superstitions. Ask most recreational
gamblers and they will say it is all about luck. Luck
is what most of us use to explain what goes on at any
gaming table or machine, or more importantly, why we
win or lose.
Hand and hand with luck go the superstitions almost
all people involved with gambling seem to have. Some
are more intense than others and anyone who makes or
covers a bet probably has at least a couple. These
superstitions range from crossing one’s fingers or the
simple prayer, “Please let me win,” to rituals of an
obsessive-compulsive nature that would rival the
ceremony at the coronation of European royalty.
The craps table, with it’s numerous of ways to bet,
flashy table layout and a language of its own, seems
to have garnered more than its share of superstitious
behaviors among players. The entire game is dictated
by how they land so it is no wonder that most, but not
all of these beliefs, center around the dice. The dice
are supposed to be thrown down the middle of the table
and hit the back wall. When something other than this
happens you can almost see the facial expressions of the
players change as their superstitions kick in to high gear.
Nothing seems to accomplish this quicker than a die
going off the table. Watch a craps table and see how
the players react when this happens. Listen for the
players to tell the dealers, “My odds and place bets
aren’t working [the bet is not in play and can neither
win or lose] on the next roll.” If the next roll is a
seven they will tell each other, “That always happens.
Good thing we saved our odds.” If it is not a seven,
“Whew! Better to be safe.”
If things were going well for the players before it
went off the table, you will hear calls of, “Same
dice!” coming from the entire table, not just the
shooter; they will watch to make sure this happens.
If a shooter has a great roll and finally sevens out,
the other players will probably pass the dice around
the table back to the “same lucky shooter”.
Throwing the dice into the stacks in front of the box
is bad luck. Hitting a player’s hand with them
forecasts disaster. Hitting the croupier’s stick or a
dealer’s hand (GASP!), well, you might as well just
hand over your money and leave Las Vegas.
Other things that “effect” the outcome of the throw
are using the same hand to throw, the same type of
throw, getting the dice to land in the same place,
blowing on them, taking a drink before throwing, doing
a lucky dance before, during or after the throw or
maybe the shooter turning his hat around on his head
before each throw. The list can be endless.
When the dealers rotate or one goes on a break, watch
how many players reduce their bets or refuse to play
until their “lucky dealer” returns to the table or until
their side is graced by her presence. I remember working
relief one very busy night - three different tables per
hour. For my entire shift the tables got “hot” only during
the brief periods of time I was at each of them. I
had people following me from table to table. They begged
the pit boss and casino manager not to let me go on breaks
or be allowed to leave at the end of my shift.
There are plenty of other mysterious forces are at
work. I watched a single table give away close to a
million dollars one night. Superstitions are not only
for players. The bosses tried everything they could
think of to stop the torrent of money from flowing
away from that table. To the howls and BOOS from the
players, dealers, dice and croupier’s sticks were
changed. Dealers were told to take off their pinkie
rings but not their wedding rings. The cocktail
waitresses were sent away and told to come back after
they change their shoes, costumes and some were even
told to change the color of their panties. They were
in the process of bringing over chips from a different
table when the give-away stopped. Five minutes later
a couple walked by and one told the other, “No one
wants to play at this table because it’s unlucky.”
It is easy to tell which table is “hot” and which is
“cold”. The tables that have all the people are hot,
those without people are cold. No one wants to play
at a cold (empty) table because it is bad luck to do
so. The casinos have even been known to cater to this
superstition by having employees (shills) dressed in
civilian clothing “play” at these “cold” tables until
real players show up. Craps is about the only game
where it is considered normal for the players to whoop
it up when things are going well. Sometimes this is
even encouraged by the house since it brings even more
players to the now “hot” table that was cold just a
few minutes ago.
I could go on and on but you should have the idea by
now. Do these things have any effect on the dice or
the next roll? Of course not. I do not think of my
self as a superstitions person, although as a player I
never lit a cigarette until after the point was
established. I have had other players ask me why I did
not take my odds down after a die went off the table.
My response was always, “The dice don’t know or care.”
This is true unless you believe the dice are inhabited
by spirits or effected by forces I am not aware of.
In that case your believing it makes it true for you.
Sometimes, although not often, bets based on feelings
and hunches win, while those based on informed
scientific principles, lose.
Does believing or acting on these superstitions
necessarily show signs of a mentally instability or
skewed mental processes? If they did, any of us who
reflexively avoid stepping on that crack in the
sidewalk, knock on wood, walk around instead of
beneath ladders or say, “Bread and butter,” when a
post comes between two of us would be suspect.
Most superstitions are harmless, some even fun. If
you do not let them override your common sense and you
will be fine.
Good luck(?) on your next trip to Las Vegas.