FRONT PAGE - Back to THE CRAPSHOOTER
The Crapshooter - Archive
Math Weenies
The Crapshooter © 2001 by Larry Edell
In craps, a math weenie is someone who places the importance of
mathematical calculations above all else. He would insist that craps,
being a negative expectation game, has no chance of winning, due to the
fact that every bet on the table has a positive expectation for the
house. I, on the other hand, believe that rhythm rollers, system
shooters, and other people skilled at shooting can significantly
eliminate the house edge.
So, I was playing one fine evening and two gentlemen approached the
table and began discussing which bet to make. One (Gentleman “A”) seemed
to know what he was doing, as he was constantly telling the other
(Gentleman “B”) what not to bet. He was a math weenie.
Mr. B was watching how the other players were betting and asked “How
about the field?” Mr. A said “5.5% house edge.”
Mr. B saw another bet and said “How about placing the four?” Mr. A
replied “6.6% house edge.”
The dealers and other players were, of course, watching all of this,
and I was despairing that poor Mr. B would never get a bet in. Finally,
I had enough and decided to teach the math weenie a lesson.
Mr. B sighed and asked “What about placing the six?”
Mr.A shook his head and replied “1.5% house edge.”
I cleared my throat. “Um, excuse me, but that’s not correct.”
“Oh?” Mr. A inquired pleasantly, “Then what exactly are the ODDS for
the PLACE SIX or EIGHT Mr.Knowitall???”
Well. I proceeded to inform this fine gentleman of his error. “You see,
the odds for the place six and eight are 7:6. The player’s advantage,
actually his disadvantage, is -1.5%.”
He glared at me. “That’s what I said, smart guy!”
“Well, no. If the player advantage is -1.5%, it doesn’t mean that the
house advantage is + 1.5%. The house, you see, is betting on the 7
rolling before the six or eight, and the player is betting the six or
eight will roll before the seven.”
“SO?”
“Well, in 36 rolls, the player would win $35 and lose $36 so he bets a
total of $66 (11 x $6) and gets $65 back, resulting in a -1.5% edge. The
house, however, wins $36 and loses $35 on a total of $77 (11 x $7) so
the house edge for the six or eight is +1.3%.”
Gentleman A politely responded. “Listen you %$*)+#@ idiot I’m trying to
teach my friend here how to play and you are just %$#@* confusing the
$&*+ out of him! Everyone knows the house edge for the six or eight is
1.5 not 1.3, you *&^%$#@ !!!”
“Well, the player advantage may be -1.5% on the six or eight but the
house edge is 1.3%. You were wrong on all those other house edges also.
The house edge is a totally different number than the player advantage.”
Gentleman A politely responded yet again “I had enough of you
%$#@&*^%$#@!!! We’re leaving! Come on, Percy!”
Percy?
They started to walk away but Percy returned, smiling.
“Thanks! I was starting to believe this game was no fun at all, the way
he was explaining it. I have just one question though.”
“Shoot.”
“Are you one of those math weenies?”
You can get a FREE copy of The Crapshooter Newsletter, the only
newsletter devoted exclusively to craps, just by sending two first class
stamps to The Crapshooter, Dept INT, PO Box 421440, San Diego CA 92142,
or you can subscribe at http://thecrapshooter.com. You will also receive
a FREE catalog and a special FREE offer!
Check out our Banners and Page Personalities page.
Get you're GameMaster Online page stuff now!
Collect 'em all!