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The GameMaster Advisor
for November of 1999


Gamemaster,
Hi my name is Jasmine and I have been studing the The BJ School Lessons archives and I was wondering what happened to the web site. I lost lesson 3 and would like to reprint it but it's gone. I was also wondering were can I find out what casinos play what kind of blackjack without having to go casino to casino. More importantly, what casino lets you double your A hands. Thank you in advance.

Hello, Jasmine.
You probably were reading my lessons at www.blackjack.com/ We were just 'lending' the lessons to them. All of my lessons are located at my site which is www.gamemasteronline.com/ Go to the front page, then click on the "Story Archive" tab at the top and you'll find them all under "Blackjack", along with a lot more. For a list of good games, go here: http://oldcorp.excite.com/people/skister/conds.html

When referring to "A hands", I assume you mean those which allow double on any first two cards; those are listed as "DOA" on that site. If you mean those that allow you to double when you split a pair of Aces, I'm not aware of any that do.

Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
11/29/99



GameMaster,
I read your review of River Belle and I am planning to play. In that review you said that the house's edge was 0.2%. I have seen these percentages and have read them in your Blackjack articles.

What exactly does this mean and how is it calculated? Can you calculate the advantage for Acropolis Casino? Their house rules are a little better; i.e., DAS, double on anything and re-split on splits.

Your site is really good. I have learned quite a lot. You know your business and I respect that. Keep up the good work.
Tony

Hi, Tony.
Thanks for the compliment. I did review the Blackjack game for Acropolis and they have an approximate 0.4% edge. That's because their game is dealt from a six-deck shoe, whereas River Belle's game is single-deck. What those numbers mean is this: If a player uses perfect basic strategy (that is, plays each hand correctly), s/he can expect to lose 0.2% or 0.4% of all the $$$ bet at the game. For example, if I play a game with a 0.4% edge and use the proper basic strategy and bet $10 per hand, my long term results at the game will be an average loss of 4 cents per hand. So, if I play 10,000 hands at that game, I should end up with a loss of about $400. Obviously, if the casino's edge is half that, my expected loss will also be half. Now understand that I may have winning sessions and could get ahead by quite a bit, but the reality is that my loss will eventually reflect the casino's advantage over me. However, if I use card-counting techniques, I may be able to overcome that edge.

We figure these numbers through a mathematical calculation of the impact each rule has on the player. A good example of this is whether or not the dealer hits A-6. Requiring the dealer to hit soft 17 is not to the player's advantage and that adds 0.20% to the casino's edge. That 0.20% can be figured in a number of ways, but the easiest is to run a simulation of a billion hands or so where the only rule change in the game is that the dealer hits A-6 or stands on A-6; the increase in the casino's edge will become apparent. Using more decks is not good for the player either, because that action cuts down on the number of Blackjacks the player will get. Adding all those 'good' and 'bad' options up enables us to calculate the casino's edge over the player who uses the proper basic strategy. Bear in mind that the basic strategy may be different for each game, depending upon the rules. Go to the "GameMaster's Personal Links" page and, under the Blackjack section, you'll see links to the pages I use for the calculation of the casinos' edge and an excellent site for determining the proper basic strategy for each game.

Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
11/14/99



Hi Gamemaster.
I do Vegas 7-10 times/year and 90%of my trips are winners. I play Keno on the Play Maker games, but when I get low on cash I always go to the roulette table to build it up again This works most of the time...I always bet the zeros...they have been good payoffs for me. What do you think,,just dumb luck? I've been doing this for many years.

I would like to know your thoughts on Keno machines...My favorite...They pay for my gambling trips, 9 out of 10 times.
Love your articles,
John

Hello, John.
Thanks for the kind words. I'm glad this has been working for you and I never argue with success. But the reality is that the casinos have a very big edge over you in both Keno and Roulette. The edge in Keno runs about 8% and it's over 5% in Roulette. For more information on both games, see the "Casino Survival Guide" I've written; just click on the tab at the top of the front page. There you'll find some very helpful hints on Keno, in particular. Please accept my best wishes for continued good luck.

Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
11/14/99



Hello GameMaster,
I have been following your lessons & it has helped a lot; thank you!

You're welcome.

I have another question; two actually. The first is, I'm having trouble dividing half decks into the count. Do you have any suggestions or give me an example please?

If you're using the High/Low count, just divide by full decks and round down conservatively. For example, with a running count of 5 and four decks remaining, consider that a true count of 1. I have no 'tricks' for learning half-deck adjustments, because I've never used a count which requires it. I think that degree of accuracy isn't needed in multi-deck games.

The other one is that I read a book by Jerry Patterson. Have you heard of him; if so, is he any good? He suggests that you memorize a chart & then multiply the running count by them & that gives you the true count. Example 5 1/2 decks left running count is 14. You multiply 0.2 (2 move the decimal point over after you multiply) that gives you a true count of 2.8. I can do the dividing rather easily except for when there is a 1/2 involved. So if you could please help me I'd rather do it your way & divide.

Jerry Patterson is the person who taught me how to count. His 'normal' counting information is valid, but his latter systems like Target are, in my opinion, useless. That way of multiplying to divide which he describes is valid. But again, I recommend that you use a count where one divides by full decks.

I have been practicing since I am off work from a back operation. I am going to Vegas for Thanksgiving I have been practicing everyday. I live in Florida, my parents were down & we went on a gambling boat. The first trip I played slots & lost so I went to the tables. I had only $10.00 left. In 45 minutes I walk away with $150.00; not bad huh? The second trip I played with $20.00 (both trips $5.00 minimum) I walked away 1 1/2 hours later with $264.00, so see, your stuff does work: thanks!

You're doing very well. Congratulations.

I am building my bankroll for Vegas. I have $1,600 dollars so far. What amount of table should I play $5, $10, etc?

You should try to find a $5 minimum double-deck table and bet a 1-6 spread so your top bet will be $30 at a true count of 6. If you can find a game with 60+% penetration, you should average about $5 per hour. There's a less than 1 in 50 chance of losing the entire $1600 in 24 hours of play (say, 3 days at 8 hours' play per day - remember to come up for air sometime and eat, etc.) and there's about a 50-50 chance of hitting a goal of $500 on the trip. Your expectation is to win $120 on the trip, so don't go for the chandeliers if you have a good streak.

Oops, 1 more question. What do you think about this count reversal strategy? I mean it sounds weird: don't increase your bet until the count starts to come back down.

The concept here is that the count is going up because you've hit a place in the deck where a lot of little cards are coming out and it's tough to win when little cards are coming out. Once the count starts going down, it means that big cards are coming out and then the player should be getting 20s and Blackjacks, etc. That theory would be fine if the cards all ran in streaks; they don't. The betting principles we use for counting takes all that into consideration, so I don't buy the idea.

Also, what do you think about this card clumping thing?

There's no doubt that cards can 'clump'. The problem arises when one tries to act on that information. If 4 high cards are dealt, there's no way one can say that 4 more are going to appear, or that 4 small cards are going to come out. Clumping is random (in spite of what others may say) and it's not possible to predict random events. Card counting has the power of pointing out favorable situations where the odds favor a higher bet and, if we're able to play enough of these favorable situations, we can make a profit.

I trust your advice over anyone else's as I win with YOUR lessons.

Thanks for the vote of confidence. Don't hesitate to ask if I can help you further and let us know how you make out in Sin City.

Thanks so much for your time.
Lorie

Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
11/11/99



GameMaster,
My name is Lorie & wanted to tell you I have learned a lot with your chapter's on your site. I have a question please about determining the true count. I followed your exercise about how to determine the "true" count. I must say I am confused because there were no examples of where the count was less than the decks remaining. i.e. if the running count were 1 & the number of decks remaining were 6. That would be .16 correct? So since that is not even close to 1 would you round it down & call it a "true " count of zero?

I love your lessons but you have not had any new ones for quite some time.
Thank-You,
Lorie :)

Hi, Lorie.
I'm glad you've found the lessons helpful, but I do a new one each month...are you missing them? They're all available on the Blackjack Page which you can reach from the front page of my site.

Anyway, to answer your question; yes, if the running count was 1 and there are 6 decks left, consider the true count as 0, but if you have a hand of 16 against a dealer's 10, you'd stand because the 'index' for that play is 0 and you're just a bit above that.

Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
11/11/99