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The GameMaster Advisor
December, 2000


GameMaster,
Is there a book or paper that calculates the maximum advantage that, using a computer that plays perfect blackjack, can be obtained in a multi-deck game?

Is that near 2% or more like 5%, 10%?
Thanks in advance.

Hello, Lepto.
I am not aware of any such study on multi-deck games, but Peter Griffin calculated this for a single-deck game in his book, "The Theory of Blackjack". For a game dealt to the 10-card level (81% penetration), perfect play will produce an average edge of 2.74%. The key to this and to a multi-deck game is, first, the penetration and then the bet spread. Griffin's study was based upon a bet spread of 1 to 2 and the 2.74% average edge is a total of a 0.21% gain from perfect Insurance bets, 1.15% from other variations in Basic Strategy and 1.38% from betting variations.

Realistically, "perfect play" when flat-betting in a six-deck game with 50% penetration (like many games available on the 'Net) will cut the casino's edge to about 0.25% (assuming that the rules give the casino a 0.5% edge "off the top") so this must be overcome by the betting spread. If a player bets one unit in any negative count and, say, 50 units in any positive count, the average edge might be about 1.50%, but the swings in the bankroll would be breathtaking. A more realistic 1-16 spread will produce an average edge of about 1.10%. An additional gain is available to the player who leaves the game when the count goes minus. That can add 0.5% to the average edge. By the way, my calculations here are based upon empirical evidence, not mathematical calculation but I think they'll serve to make the point which is that it doesn't get much over 2% under the best of conditions when faced with shallow penetration.

Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
11/26/2000


Hi GM,
I can't wait to save $6000 to play Blackjack, so why not save, say, $500 for 4 hours play and if I lose, wait a few weeks and play again? Eventually it should swing in my favor and I won't have to save anymore. True or false?
from Joe

Hello, Joe.
I think what you're proposing is how most Blackjack players begin their careers. Rather than a specific "bankroll", they have a sum of $$$ which is renewable from other sources (a job, for example). It's all the same thing from a mathematical point of view, but doing it your way increases the "frustration factor". The problem is that you may go on a perfectly normal losing streak that costs you $1500 or so and that makes it seem like all you do is lose. Some people begin to lose faith in "the system" at that point and start to deviate from Basic Strategy by not doubling when they should, etc. That, in turn, causes the losses to mount and then even more faith is lost. Another catch here is that there could be a time when you'd like to play (perhaps to take advantage of a casino bonus or promotion) and you don't have the $$$ to do it. That too is very frustrating.

By having a separate bankroll for this venture, the player takes a long-term view and I think that helps to reduce the frustration which this game can create. If you have the mental discipline to deal with the short-term swings, however, your idea can work for you because, as I said earlier, it's all the same from a mathematical point of view.

Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
11/10/2000


GameMaster,
I am a dealer in the UK. When I deal blackjack in my casino, I use a shuffling machine, so at the end of each hand, I put the cards into the machine which are then shuffled. Would it make any difference to the players if I were to shuffle the cards every two or three hands for instance as supposed to each hand?

Also, as a player, would you prefer to play against a casino that used shuffling machines as supposed to those with a normal shoe, since with a machine you cannot keep a true count, although you do get more hands in.
Chris

Hello, Chris.
Glad you asked!

What you use is what we call a "continuous" shuffling machine and it basically neutralizes the power of card-counting. Needless to say, I'm not in favor of that, even though it will produce more hands per hour. Playing more hands per hour when the "house" has an edge only makes my $$$ disappear more quickly. Adding the cards back after two or three hands are played is not, unfortunately, any help. Thanks for asking, though.

Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
11/4/2000


GM,
I am interested in where to find information on live internet gaming. Any help would be greatly appreciated. Thank You, Bob

Hello, Bob.
I assume by "live" that you mean a game which is played in "real time". While the technology exists for poker games like 7-card stud and hold 'em to be played that way, no casino to the best of my knowledge is currently offering that. I do know, however, that such software is in the works, so it will likely just be a matter of time. Keep visiting us, because I'm sure it will be big news when they go on line.

Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
11/4/2000


Hi there,
I'm new to the game of internet gambling. I want to get into it, but want to take it easy at first. There is so much to learn I just don't know where to start. My interests have always been in Blackjack and Roulette. If I am going to start playing these online casinos is blackjack the best game to play?

In my opinion, yes. Video Poker may offer a better return, but it takes a much bigger bankroll to successfully attack the game.

I love your blackjack school lessons by the way, BRILLIANT!!

Thank you.

I have noticed that most of the internet casinos shuffle shoes after every hand, thus ruining the counters strategy to beat them. However you list some casinos which shuffle a six deck shoe after 50% of the cards have gone. Has this increased in any casinos since your last review?

Not that I know of.

This can't be bad I thought: I can learn to count, follow all the lessons and play perfect blackjack until I read in one of your lessons a quote saying 'if the shoe is cut at 50% or below don't even think about counting'. I am confused, it seems that there is no real stategy apart from basic strategy and money management to play online blackjack which is not going to beat the casinos, am I right?

With software like Card Counter (see my review of it on the "GameMaster's Secrets" page - Internet Blackjack Report: Part 3), an edge can be gained with only 50% penetration. The other way to win is to play a game where the casino's rules are so favorable that the Basic Strategy player has an edge.

Your extensive blackjack reports etc seem to be for real world casino's not online ones? The site is extensive and I may have missed something. What about online single deck strategy??.

You could not have written at a better time. We just put up a new section called "Gamblin' With The GameMaster" and it has a specific recommendation for a single-deck game AND the proper playing strategy is included! Also, there is a good 6-deck game which offers penetration and the playing strategy is there for that as well.

It seems to me that video poker is the way to go at the online virtual venues because the games do not change much; it just depends on what the payout is set to am I right?.

That's correct, assuming the games are "honest". But, like I said earlier, you need a much larger bankroll.

Finally, If you were to rate the online games what would be the order from best odds to worst odd?

Before I list the games, I have to mention that the best way to make $$$ playing online is to take advantage of sign-up and other bonuses which the casinos offer. See my review on the book, "Beatwebcasinos.com". That's in the "GameMaster's Secrets" section also. For play without bonuses, here's my opinion:

#1. Full-pay Deuces Wild Video Poker (a 0.7% player advantage)
#2. Blackjack (some games have a 0.5% player advantage)
#3. A lot of variations of BJ and VP would go in here, since many offer a casino edge of 0% to 0.5%.
#4. Baccarat (an average casino edge of about 1.10% on the Banker and Player bets) This is basically a tie with #5.
#5. Craps ( a 1.14% casino edge on a pass line bet that can be lowered through the use of free odds, though that makes you bet more $$$)
#6. High/Low, Odd/Even, Red/Black bets on a single-zero Roulette wheel where the "partage" rule is in effect (1.35% casino edge)
#7. All the rest, with the worst odds being at Sic Bo and the slots.

Being a gambling guru you must get tired off all these trivia questions

Not at all . It's what I'm here for.

Just a final note I spent a month searching for a free site which would provide comprehensive reports on all aspects of online gambling your site is by far the best I have seen and I have see a few!!
Great work
Tom

Thanks, Tom. You're very kind.

Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
11/4/2000


Hello Gamemaster,
I live in the UK and play BJ at the weekends but the tables are always full. In the UK 2 extra players can play behind a player. i was wondering if you can make a profit from a full table through wonging?, if the player in front knows basic strategy.

It doesn't really matter if the table is full as long as the game offers sufficient penetration. Placing a "rider" bet is a great way to "wong" a game, but as you mention, the other player must know the proper Basic Strategy.

What is the best box to sit at? Because can't the count change rapidly once you have placed youre bet.what i mean is say i have a big bet out and i am sitting in the center the count could swing negative by the time it gets to me, that means i have a large bet out when the count is be negative.

I would be grateful for a reply
thanks bradley

That is true, so if at all possible, try to bet on the box that gets the cards first. However, remember that a count can also go up under the same circumstances so it will all average out in the long run. The most important thing is to bet with a player who knows the proper Basic Strategy.

I'm currently working on a new Blackjack lesson which covers "rider" bets, so look for it soon.

Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
11/4/2000