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FRONT PAGE - Back to THE ADVISOR PAGE Hello there, Thanks for the kind words. Be sure to visit my other free lessons which
are on the Blackjack Page of my web site. Some questions have arisen, though.
Firstly, I've noticed differences between the BS Charts generated by the
Engine, and Revere's Charts ("Blackjack as Business"). Example: Single Deck,
H17, DA2. Revere says NOT to split 9,9 against a Dealer Ace. The engine
produces a chart that says you should.
Typo? Should I always treat Revere's words as gospel, or the the Engine's
charts 100% accurate?
It's a close call, either way, but it appears that the BJ Strategy engine
has an error.
Secondly, with the same rules listed above, Revere treats different
combinations resulting in "8" in different manners (eg. a hand of 6,2 iis
always Hit, while 5,3 is doubled against Dealer's 5,6). the Engine treats all
hard hands which total 8 in the same way.
Those 'specific card' hands are refinements which one may add, if desired.
The strategy engine treats all 8s as the same. Lastly, I am confused by the math behind a "Double. If unable, Stand"
strategy
(e.g. A,7 vs. Dealer 4). If a Hit is such a mathematically sound move to
warrant a double down, then how (simply by the fact that you can't double)
can
it be that you should Stand rather than take the Hit. You're not hitting to improve the hand, you're doubling to get more $$$ on
the table because the dealer is favored to bust. Thus, if you can't
double, stand.
Yours for winning, GameMaster,
Depending upon the game(s) you're playing, a Royal will appear, on average
about once every 40-45,000 hands IF you are utilizing the proper playing
strategy. I'll assume you are, so the question remains: will you ever hit
one? Well, nothing is 100% sure, but the math says that you're probably
going to see one sooner rather than later. My sims show that a player
can go
a long time without a Royal, but over a 'big' trial (4,000,000 hands or so),
the averages come through. I recently played 186,000 hands of dollar VP
without a Royal, then hit 3 within 52,000 hands of play. I know it's tough,
but all I can say is that the only way you'll ever hit a Royal is to keep
playing.
Yours for winning, Hi GameMaster,
I'm learning your Blackjack lessons (i really like them btw) and i have
a little problem in the lesson 8 and 9, i tried to go read the 2
article: "Optimal Wagering" and "Risk of Ruin" but i think that the link
you give is broke....i can't reach those article.
Those articles, which were written by other people, have been removed from
the Web. I'm sorry, but I don't have copies of them. Glad you've found
the lessons helpful.
Yours for winning, GameMaster,
Well, you've got me on this one. My copy of it shows the count when you
mark the "Show the Count" box. Assuming that you've done that, I don't
know what else to suggest. I'll try to get hold of Graeme, the inventor of
the program, but haven't heard from him for 3-4 months.
Yours for winning,
Hi GameMaster,
Anyways...keep up the good work. Your writing is the best I've seen
on gambling and I've read a lot!
Dear Ken,
Yours for winning, GameMaster, War has a house edge of about 2.5%; avoid it. Also, I'm down $250 (the most I've ever been down) and rent is due soon.
How do you suggest I make this up? Aggressively or slowly? I have about
$100
left to my name. "WAR" is very tempting because it's such a quick fix, but
should I stick to blackjack? Help! Never go into a casino with $$$ you can't afford to lose. Also, I've read your roulette tips and I have a question. Suppose I borrow
$800 and play roulette. Shouldn't "Martingale's rule" be effective if the
house limit is $5000? My original bet would only be $10. Therefore, I
could
have 6 to 7 chances for my color to hit. The odds would have to be in my
favor. Help!
At roulette, bet # 6 would be $320. Are you willing to bet $320 that you
don't have to win $10? The odds are NOT in your favor at roulette, ever. My advice is to stop going to the casino until you've built up a bankroll
of risk capital. Then stick to Blackjack.
Yours for winning, Hello GameMaster, Sorry to hear that, but I think they still have All American and the $1 9/6 Jacks with a progressive Royal. I spend most of my time in Players and it looks like it will be even more, now.
Yours for winning, HELLO GAMEMASTER, If you can get a 1-8 spread ($25-$200; top out at a true of 6) and find the game you describe, your expectation would be to win about $40 an hour on average. With a $12,500 bankroll, your risk of losing it all (assuming you play 'forever') is about 10%. If you play 48 hours total on your trip and average 75 hands/hour, the trip should yield a result of somewhere between -$11,600 and + $15,500 with a win of $1900 being the mathematical expectation. The risk of losing all $12,500 on the trip is about 1%. There is a 40% probability that you'll be up by $5000 at some point in the trip. This sounds like a weather forecast or a call to Psychic Friends, but it's just a calculation from the Blackjack Risk Manager. I usually carry 15 top bets for a four-hour session; for you that'd be $3000. There's a 1 in 50 chance of losing it all. Good luck and let me know how you make out.
Yours for winning, |