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The GameMaster Advisor
for July and August of 1998
Dear Gamemaster:
In your opinion which boat in St Louis is the best for
playing craps. While I am not a high roller I do not like to give any odds to
the house. I enjoy the 2.00 game but I have found the Admiral game is not a
true 2.00 game. Some prop bets seem to pay better at St. Charles than the
Queen. I would like to hear your opinion on this subject.
Thanks,
Big D
Dear 'Big',
I don't play craps, because of a built-in house edge, but if I did, I'd bet
only pass or don't pass and come or don't come with odds. While most boats
offer 10X odds, I probably wouldn't bet them that high. Therefore, almost
any casino should be okay. As for the 'prop' bets (proposition bets:
hardways, horn bets, hop bets, etc.) some MIGHT be better, but it may be
more a case of how they display their odds. Remember, 9 FOR 1 is the same
as 8 TO 1.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/30/98
GameMaster,
What is a "pivot" and how does it apply to an unbalanced count? How do I
figure out my bet based on the unbalanced running count?
Thanks,
Matt
Dear Matt,
Before I answer your question, let me tell our other readers about
'unbalanced' counts. The Hi/Lo counting method which I recommend and teach
in my Blackjack Lessons is a 'balanced' count, which means that the point
values assigned to each card (+1 for 2-6 and -1 for 10s, faces and Aces)
results in a count of 0 after going through an entire deck. In other words,
there are an equal number of plus and minus values assigned. This system
requires an extra calculation to convert the 'running count' (the raw total
of all the cards seen to that point) to a 'count per remaining deck' or true
count. In an unbalanced count, the sum of all the points is something other
than 0. For example, in Arnold Snyder's 'Red 7' count, the sum is +2 and
that is the 'pivot' point. No true count conversion is needed; a player
does everything off the running count. So, if one is using an unbalanced
count with a pivot point (or count) of +2 at a six-deck game, when the
'running' count is +12, the player has an edge of 1% minus the casino's
starting advantage. If the rules of the casino give it a .5% edge over the
player who uses correct basic strategy, at the pivot point, the player now
has an edge of .5%.
So that answers your first question. The pivot point is the running count
at which you begin to raise your bet. Remember that it's a pivot point per
deck, so if you're at a single-deck game it's +2, at a double-deck game, the
pivot point is a count of +4, etc.
As for a betting strategy, it all depends upon your starting bankroll. A
rule which has served me well is to set a maximum bet of 1/50th of your
total bankroll. Thus, a $3000 bankroll would call for a $60 top bet. If
you were playing the $5 table, you could go to $10 at the pivot point and
add $10 for each count of +2 (again, per deck) by which the count rises.
For example, at a six-deck game, at a count of +12, bet $10, +14, bet $20,
etc. up to a maximum of $60.
I hope this rather lengthy explanation helps you.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/18/98
Report on Kenny Rogers:
I have spent over $200. on the craps game
and can tell you that the computer will
generate results to make you lose every time.
Definitely NOT recommended for craps game.
Report on RiverBelle:
seems quite fair to me and very much like the real
thing even though results are computer-generated.
I HIGHLY recommend the Riverbelle's craps game.
These are honest opinions based on my experience
and given without prejudice.
Sincerely,
Sylvie
Dear Sylvie,
Thanks for your comments; they are very much appreciated. How long, if I
may ask, did you play craps at Kenny Rogers? It may be that you just
experienced a bad swing. I say that because in craps, the casino has a
built-in edge over the player, so it seems foolish for them to cheat. I do
realize that even then, there are those who would cheat.
I'm not surprised over your reaction to the Riverbelle; in my experience
they run a 'clean ship'.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/18/98
Dear Gamemaster,
I've been playing BJ on online casinos (riverbelle and gaming club) for a
solid week (40hrs) for funny money. I'm slowly comming to the conclusion that
it is impossible to beat their game even a little bit. No penetration and
double on 9, 10 and 11 is not much fun. Too much of a house edged.
I do much better with land based casinos.
I realize that you cannot comment, but do you know of a "chat room" where I
can talk to other cyber BJ players.
Keep up the good work on your web site.
Almost giving up on cybercasinos.
Tony
You're right; you cannot beat cybercasinos. As for Blackjack 'chat', check
out The Blackjack Page at www.bj21.com/
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/17/98
GameMaster,
Do you have any experience at the Grand Casino in Tunica Mississippi?
If not, any experience with Miss. gambling? (BJ) I am planning a trip to Miss.
and thought I might pick up some action.
Just got back from Biloxi; the Blackjack at the President Casino is great!
Am working on a story of my trip there.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/17/98
Dear GameMaster,
Your site is continues to be awesome and has been a great help to me at the
land casinos.
I am starting to get into the internet casino scene and appreciate your
reviews.
What would be helpful to me (and maybe others) would be to include their rules
and payouts in their advertisements or in your reviews. Many of the online
casinos are reluctant to give them out until after you download or sign up a
cash account; lot of time wasted! I have been avoiding these.
Best rules I've seen so far is at Acropolis Casino. If they allowed a $1 or $2
minimum I would play more often.
Keep up the good work.
Tony
Thanks for the idea, Tony. Perhaps we can start a page where the rules for
various casinos are posted. Readers, it's up to you. If you'll send us the
rules, we'll post them.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/12/98
GameMaster,
Would you know where I could go to find the strategy for Double Bonus
Video Poker -- the 10/7 game? Thanks. I enjoy visiting your site. You're
doing a great job.
Ray
Dear Ray,
Thanks for the compliment; come back and see us often.
Both Jazbo Burns and Skip Hughes have good cards for the game; both are
accurate and reasonably priced. Jazbo is at www.monmouth.com/~jburns and
Skip is at www.vid-poker.com.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/12/98
Hi! Just wanted to let you know that I found your Blackjack Classic Series
a great teaching aid for us novices. It sure made a believer out of me
that BJ is beatable.
Unfortunately, I live in the Philippines and the number of casinos here is
very small and all controlled by just one company, the Philippine Amusement
and Games Corporation (PAGCOR). I am interested in trying out my luck in
the ONLINE gambling sites that proliferate in the Internet. So far, I've
encountered a lot of sites where the counting system could not be used
because the online casinos shuffle the deck AFTER EACH HAND!! Although
there were a few sites which offered six deck games, they also shuffled
after only a 33.3% penetration or two decks into play. Still, this is no
good as per your lessons.
I was wondering if you knew of any casino sites that would offer us a
chance to use the counting method or if you could refer me to people who
might be able to help me out.
I'm really looking forward to hearing from you and hopefully, with some
good references so that I can join you guys as serious BJ players.
Dear Gilbert,
I am not aware of any online casino where counting is effective.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/10/98
Went to Harrahs yesterday and did good thanks to your suggestions.
Really appreciate it.
Next thing I have to learn is how to walk away with more of my winnings. I
managed to walk away with some. Difficult to do when you're winning and start
losing. I hung in too long on some play.
Thanks again.
Tony
Glad to help.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/10/98
Hi there,
I took a look at your page for the fuisrt time ever today and what a
wonderful page it truly is.
Lots & lots of great info. I will be a keen supporter.
Two points.
1. On the Hot tips page you have the following tips.
A Video Blackjack Hot Tip says...
More good video Blackjack is available in St. Louis. The Admiral casino has
added 10 machines
where the basic strategy player can get a small edge over the house. The
minimum bet is a mere
25 cents and the max is $2.50. For more details, go to the Video Poker
Message Board.
Sorry, we used to have a video poker message board which was recently taken
down to make room for the Casino Survival Guide. Further info on All
American video poker on the Admiral can be found on the Best of St. Louis page.
A Video Blackjack Hot Tips says...
Good video Blackjack has always been an oxymoron to me, until now. I've
found a quarter video
Blackjack game where you can get an edge just playing proper basic
strategy. The full story is on
the Video Poker Board. Just click the tab up top.
Again, that's gone. The Blackjack can be found on a game called Williams
Multi-Play on the Admiral Casino and Harrah's 'Mardi Gras' here in St. Louis
and many other casinos nationwide.
2. I tried to get to the page http//www.flash.net/~vista/ so as to download
Graeme's flashcards. No go. The page is unaccessable. Have addresses been
changed here by any chance?
Graeme moved back to Australia and his site is no longer working. We are
going to set up a transfer point on our site to make this excellent program
available to all our readers.
Once again all strength to you for your great page. I have joined flash
reports under the address sd@eudoramail.com and look forward to reading many
reports etc etc.
Thanks for all the kind words; sorry for the inconvenience.
Go well,
Selwyn
Your welcome.
The GameMaster
8/6/98
GameMaster,
I have read all of your lessons that you have written about in the
game of black jack. I would like to congradulate you on a job that
has been very well done. Every one of your lessons has taught me
something new or just bought back to memory things that I already knew
but just needed a reminder on. I found your articles to be the best
that I have read on the game of blackjack.
If you have any time, I would greatly appreciate it if you would
answer my question.
Like I said, I have read your articles on blackjack and already
knowing basic stratergy and the basics of card counting I was very
interested in your articles. However, after the shuffle, the
dealer(where I play) cuts the cards, usually putting a third away and
leaving only two thirds of the shuffled cards in the shoe to be dealt.
I was just wondering, is this normal and does counting cards give you
much of an advantage (if all)? How should I go about counting cards
if one third of the deck is already gone? Do I just begin counting
from the first hand dealt out?
I'm sorry for pestering you with these questions but if anyone can
help them with them, it is you. And once again, congradulations and
thank you for the articles that you have written to try and help "us"
beat the casino for a change.
Regards
Bella
Dear Bella,
Thanks for the kind words; I'm glad the lessons have helped you.
Regarding the very unusual technique of taking a third of the shoe and
removing it from play, if the dealer then proceeds to use all the cards in
the shoe, you have a game which offers 66% penetration. If, however, the
dealer puts away a third and does not deal all the cards in the shoe, you
have a game with less than 66% penetration. In my lessons I state that it
is not worth your time to play at a game with less than 65% penetration. In
other words, at a six-deck game you must see at least 203 cards out of a 312
(6 X 52) card shoe to even begin to think that the game is beatable.
The technique you use here is to just begin counting as the first hand is
played; those 'missing' cards are treated as though they're behind the
shuffle card.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/5/98
GameMaster
I have been playing BJ for several months now at Harrahs in Cherokee and Alton
Belle in St Louis when I visit my sister.
I have also played a little on the internet.
I really enjoy your Web Site;
I have a few questions; if you have time to answer, I would appreciate it. If
you are too busy, let me know and I'll quit bugging you.
My questions are as follows:
1. What is your opinion of BJ on these internet casinos? It seems that all of
them (at least the ones that I've seen) shuffle the shoe after every hand;
this takes away the advantage of card counting (I am learning to count). Is
this an advantage for the house or the player.
By shuffling the deck after every hand, card-counting is rendered useless.
This is to the casino's advantage in that the edge they enjoy because of
their rules cannot be overcome. But, on many sites, the rules are pretty
good, so the casino's edge is probably no more than .5%. While you cannot
expect to win in the long run, you can have good winning sessions. Just
don't over-bet.
2. How do you know wether or not the casino (online) is rigging the cards? The
soft ware can be made to do anything. Is there a gaming comission that
oversees these online casinos?
You have no way of knowing whether or not a casino is 'rigging' the cards.
I play at several and feel comfortable at them, since I've never seen
anything at them which I haven't seen at a 'real' casino. There is no
gaming commission which oversees the online casinos, but a lot of them try
to run 'clean' operations since word of cheating travals quickly on the
'Net. That said, be aware that there are cheaters out there.
3. In my state, South Carolina, we have video poker machines. What is your
opinion ot these? Can they be rigged to vary the cards depending on the
success of the player?
Video poker machines can be fixed to give a specified percentage return,
just like a slot machine, in spite of the pay schedule. I don't know about
the games in South Carolina, but it seems to me that they have little to
gain by rigging the machines if, as I've heard, the pay schedules offer a
low return. See my series called 'Pick a Game' on the Video Poker page for
the pay schedules of 'good' games. Compare those with the games at your
favorite casino and you'll likely have the answer.
I've had a few good hits at Harrahs in Cherokee and on the Acropolis Casino
(online); the rush feels good.
Thanks in advance,
Tony
You're welcome.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/2/98
Hi Awesome 1,
I'm from Singapore. I first came across your contribution in a
Vegas
discussion board about slightly more than a year back while
planning
for
a trip to Vegas. I found you informative and helpful then. I am now
planning my 6th visit to Vegas (8/15 to 8/18) and by chance came
across
The Gamemaster Online and was pleasantly surprised to know that you
are
hosting the site. I just want you to know that this is absolutely
the
most comprehensive Vegas related site I've seen. In fact I
benefitted
from your publication on the room rates as advertised in the LA
Times
calender section. I got myself a room at Flamingo Hilton at
unbelieveable rate. Thanks and keep up the great work!!!!!
Edi
Thanks Edi
Yours for winning,
The Awesome 1
8/2/98
Dear Gamemaster,
Love playing casino games have found a couple sites that let you
play for fun without actually paying. Would you know of any more?
Thanks,
Tammie
Dear Tammie,
Most on-line casinos' software can be used for play without any 'real'
betting. Download a couple and try it.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/2/98
GameMaster,
I'm trying to figure out some rules to apply in a 9/6 Jacks or Better
video poker game regarding holding a suited 10 and a picture card. For
example: With a suited Ace-10, never hold the suited 10; With a suited
King-10, only hold the King-10 suited if there is no other high card.
But how about the Queen-10 suited, and the Jack-10 suited? Can you help?
Thanks
Ray
Dear Ray,
The simplified strategy treats a suited 10-Jack and 10-Queen the same as
10-King. That means two unsuited high cards are the preferable play. But
if you play games with a progressive Royal, that changes. See my series on
strategy variations for more info.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/2/98
Dear GameMaster,
We just discovered your site and want to play
blackjack,craps and paigow. Please send tips on secrets of winning . As well
as recommendations for good secure and fair sites.
thankyou,
biggdaddy46
Dear Big,
For Blackjack, go to the Blackjack Page of my site and you'll find all you
need to know to beat the game. As for craps, that section will be up soon
in the Casino Survival section. Regarding Pai-Gow, I recommend you get
Stanford Wong's book on the subject. It's available at his web site
(www.bj21.com) or from most online book sellers.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
7/13/98
GameMaster,
You guys are good - real good.
Could you recommded where I could learn slots- like your site if
possible.
Thank you
Thanks for the compliments. As a matter of fact, we are in the process of
creating a new addition to our site called "The GameMaster's Guide to Casino
Survival" (or something like that) and slots, keno, roulette and all the
other games will be carefully examined and explained. Now understand, all
these games have a built-in casino edge, so you can't beat them in the long
run, but we'll show you how to get the best bang for your buck. Stay tuned.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
7/9/98
Hi Gamemaster,
I have a question about probabilities that has been bugging me since way
back in college and I was hoping you could enlighten me.
There are two laws which, independently, I feel quite comfortable with; but
which I can't seem to reconcile with each other.
(1) Law of large numbers (allow me to paraphrase) which states that after a
million spins of a roulette wheel, the final results should be very close
to 500,000 blacks and 500,000 reds (assuming for simplicity that there are
no greens).
This is true.
(2) Law of independent events which states that the past has no effect on
the future when you're dealing with independent events like dice rolling,
roulette wheels, and, if I might add, blackjack games where the cards are
shuffled after each hand.
Also true.
But I have great difficulty when I imagine a scenario where after 500,000
spins, black is ahead 275,000 to 225,000 (quite possible, wouldn't you
agree?)
Not likely in that large a sample, assuming the wheel is in balance.
Wouldn't the odds on the next 500,000 spins be skewed towards red
for the first rule to be correct? But obviously, this can't be right.
Sample size isn't large enough, you might say. Okay, so let's make it
100,000,000 spins. After 50,000,000 spins isn't is possible for black to be
ahead 27,500,000 to 22,500,000?
Again, not likely. Remember that as the sample size gets larger, the
percentage of each event will get closer and closer to the expectation. If
we were flipping a coin, the expectation is 50% 'heads' and 50% 'tails'. In
a sample of 10 tosses, we'd expect 5 heads and 5 tails, but may well have 7
heads and 3 tails. However, as our sample size grows, we'll get closer and
closer to 50%, BUT the actual number which one side leads the other will
increase. For example, at 100,000 tosses we may be at 49.5% heads and 50.5%
tails, thus tails lead heads by 1% or an actual number of 1000. At
1,000,000 tosses, we may be at 49.75% heads and 50.25% tails, but tails has
actually come up 50,000 more times than heads!! At what point does it even
up? That's the question you're asking and the answer is: It may never hit
exactly 50-50. So, in a practical sense, you could spend a lifetime betting
on the 'catch up' and never see it. Remember that my example is a 'fair'
game and the house has a huge edge in roulette, so it's even more difficult
to capitalize on this.
I'm not trying to be confrontational. But this is something I can't quite
reconcile in my mind.
Thanks.
Solomon
I hope this helps.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
7/9/98
Just got a chance to finally download and unzip the program for the
BJ Flashcards, and wanted to profusely thank you for posting it to the
net. I really like it, and hope to use it now that I am changing over
from Hi/Low to KO blackjack.
Once again, thank you very much, for putting up a very useful program
to the net.
Warm regards,
Mike Luzzi
Dear Mike,
Glad you like the program; I'm sure it will help you. But all the thanks
goes to Graeme; he created it and very graciously made it available to our
readers.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
7/8/98
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