 |
FRONT PAGE - Back to THE ADVISOR PAGE
The GameMaster Advisor
August, 2001
GM,
Are the blackjack slot machines close to playing at a table? I would feel a
lot less intimidated playing a machine?
Thank you.
Heather
Hello, Heather.
Most (although not all) video Blackjack machines pay only 1 to 1 for a player's 'blackjack', so that gives the casino a very big edge over the player - too big to consider p[laying them, as far as I'm concerned. However, there are video Blackjack games out there that do pay the proper 3 to 2 for a natural and, if the other rules are reasonable, they could be okay to play.
So, that's the thing to do: determine if the rules are similar to those of the table games and if they are, it'll be a similar experience. If you're nervous about sitting at a 'real' table, then you might want to consider practicing at the games we have available on our other site, The GameMaster's Arcade. This is a "practice" casino which is free and there is no risk of loss, nor will anyone yell at you for making the wrong play.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/31/2001
Hello Black Jack guru!
After a lucky stint at the Black Jack table recently, somebody has put
their confidence in me (and hence their money). So I have turned to your
site to learn the skills. Being British, the only place to turn to for
advice on the game is obviously across 'the pond'.
Anyhow, I have taken a liking to applying the Basic strategy along with
the 5-level progressive system. However, I have a few questions:
First of all, I notice that (with my limited experiance) that playing via
the web, I find myself always down for the first 50 or so hands and then
clawing it back in leaps. This requires a reasonably large starting
bankroll and makes me a little fearful should it happen for real. Is this
always the case? and are the web games an accurate depiction of the average?
If the game you're playing is dealt in a "random" manner, then the losses
in the beginning are just a short-term phenomenon. Play enough and you'll
have times where the first 50 or so hands result in winners. However,
please note that I said, "if the game is dealt in a random manner". I am
not convinced that all games on the Web are honest, so they may not be
depicting the average. The problem lies in the detection of the non-random
games, although I believe that most are honest. If you care to tell me
where you're playing, I'll be happy to offer up an opinion.
Secondly, how do I place my bet following a push or double or split? I am
inclined to start again (conservative), or should I continue as normal?
I am firmly of the opinion that betting progressions do not work in the
long run, so conservative would be the best way to go.
Finally, I am always afraid to double following basic strategy if the
dealer holds a powerful card, is it contrary if I just hit?
Yes, it is. Basic Strategy says to double for a reason: one expects to
make a profit by doing so. If you just hit instead, it's costing you
money. That said, you'll now double the next 5 hands and lose and think I
don't know what I'm talking about, but believe me when I tell you that
following Basic Strategy is the smart play
Thank you and apologies if any of these are answered on your web site
already.
Ollie
Glad to help, Ollie.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/31/2001
Hi GameMaster,
I just wondered why you would double down against the dealers 4 with a soft 15 or 16 but not with a soft 13 or 14. You can't bust but a 10 card does no good with any of these hands and there are the same amounts of cards that would equally help improve the hands. If you could explain this to me I would appreciate it.
thank you
Hello.
It really just boils down to the fact that you can improve A-2 and A-3 in more ways by hitting it, rather than doubling. The expected value for hitting A-2 vs. 4 is .104, but doubling it gives only .058 (I'm assuming a 6-deck game where the dealer stands on A-6). Doubling A-3 vs. 4 returns .067, but hitting returns .082, so you can see it's not a big difference. The numbers are similar if the dealer hits A-6.
As you can see, it's not a big mistake to double A-3 against a 4, but that will increase your bankroll fluctuations (good when you win, bad when you lose) and nothing is gained in the long run. In fact, it actually costs you $$$.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/27/2001
Hello Gamemaster,
Some friends from work and I are planning a trip to Vegas in March. This will be my first time to Vegas, their second. I was surfing the net the other night looking for some kind of instruction on casino games and stumbled onto your site. WOW! What a GREAT site, just what I was looking for, thanks for being here. I admit that I am a "babe in the woods" when it comes to gambling although I have been to the two casinos here in Connecticut a couple times. Losing is not too much fun. I am in process of learning your lessons on blackjack, hoping I can be ready when I go to Vegas.
I have visited the "Basic Stategy Engine and obtained the basic strategy charts for Vegas. I didn't see any strategy charts for the casinos here in Connecticut. (I plan on utilizing your lessons at the Ct. casino's for practice) I think I figured out that all I need to print out a strategy chart for these casinos is how many decks are utilized at Foxwoods and Mohegan Sun. Am I correct in my assumption?
I've been telling my friends about your site and have given them your web site address.
I also had a problem going to the ConJelCo web page to acquire an understanding of gambling terms. The page was not available. Any suggestions would be appreciated.
Again, you have a terriffic site. Take care.
Hello.
I'm glad you found us. Welcome aboard!
The games in Connecticut at both Foxwoods and Mohegan Sun are as follows:
6 and 8 decks (there's no difference in the Basic Strategy for the number of decks in this case), dealer stands on A-6, double on any first two cards, double after split and late surrender is available. These rules are very similar to many that you'll find in Vegas, although some casinos out there don't allow surrender. But it's worth learning anyway, because your "home" game has it. Plug all those into the Basic Strategy Engine and it will give you a chart for your game.
I guess the Conjelco page has been removed, so we'll need to change that link. For a good glossary of terms (and a ton of good Blackjack info), visit Stanford Wong's site at www.bj21.com/
Thanks for telling your friends about us. Come back often.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/27/2001
GameMaster,
Hello how are you doing? My name is David, thank you
for your information on the webpage. I really
interesting on your lession but I don't understand
what is the purpose for remember the card by minus and
add them up. Is that for guessing what the next card
will be in the deck or what card is under the dealer
hand???
Could you explain that for me please???
Thank you very much!
David
Hello, David.
As you get into my lessons, you will see that "small" cards (2 to 6) are
helpful to the dealer and "big" cards (Aces, tens and faces) are helpful to
the player. A standard deck has an equal number of big and small cards, so
what we're doing with the counting is looking for times when the deck(s)
are unbalanced;for example, there could be more big cards than small cards
and that gives us certain probabilities regarding the hand we may be dealt.
That, in turn, gives us an idea of what we should bet. As an extreme
example, if only 9s, 10s and Aces were left in the deck, we'd expect to do
very well on the next hand although there is no guarantee we would win it.
We do no guessing in this business. It's all mathematical probability.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/27/2001
Hi GM,
In Lesson # 8 (GameMaster's Blackjack School), you make the following statement: A betting schedule like
this allows you to "parlay" your bets as the count rises, thus making you
look more like a "gambler". I am a beginner and am not sure what is meant by
parlay. What I am curious about is if you are using you counting strategy to
determine you wagers, would you also look to implement a betting strategy
such as the 1235 you speak about on this webpage?
Hello.
The term parlay means add your winnings to the current bet and "let it
ride." Gamblers do it because they believe in streaks and a parlay
capitalizes on that. (Just for the record, streaks certainly do exist, but
can be identified only after they happen.)
The trick here is that the betting schedule I recommend is based upon the
count, but it also has the appearance of being a mindless progression and
that will hopefully camouflage what you're doing.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/27/2001
GM,
Just noticed a bit of conflicting info on your site that may wish to know
about. On your "The Blacklist" page you have 'E-World' casino. However, this
casino also gets a favourable score on your "Online gambling playing
reviews" page. Just thought you may want to know this.
T
Hello, Treeny.
Thanks for pointing this out. Since the review was done a while ago, I
suppose it applies to when they were "good guys". I can see we're going to
have to develop some policy on what to do with situations like that.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/25/2001
Hi GameMaster,
I really enjoy your online blackjack lessons. I have been playing alot of
blackjack here in Sydney and I am a very efficient and quick counter,
however I am concerned that the game of blackjack offered at our casino may
not be worth playing. All casinos in Australia only offer an 8 deck game.
At Star City Casino in Sydney you can only double on 9,10,11, and you may
double after splitting however there is no resplitting allowed. The dealer
must stand on hard and soft 17. There is also no form of surrender
available. Most dealers cut 2 of the 8 decks out of play but it is not
rareto find a dealer who consistently only cuts 1 deck out. The one good thing
about playing at Star City is that there is absolutely no heat given to
even obvious card counters. You can sit at a table for hours and only bet when
the true count reaches 2 or higher and no one will ever question you. The
only real barrier to me earning considerable money is that my bankroll has
taken a bit of punishment recently and I must build it up before I start to
play seriously again. Could you please advise if you feel this game that I
describe is worth my time playing it.
Jonathan
Hello, Johnathan.
To put it simply, you can kill this game. If you bet only when the count
is 2 or higher and if you use a 1-8 unit bet spread, the advantage you can
obtain is about 1.7% and that's a significant number.
I have attached a simulation that uses the rules you mentioned, along with
a 1-8 betspread that I recommend and, while there's a lot of data in it, I
think you'll be able to sort it all out. I used the Hi/Lo count and just
Basic Strategy in the sim and did not take insurance at any time, so this
is pretty conservative.
Take a look at the simulation and if you have any questions, let me know.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/24/2001
GameMaster,
I am a school teacher in CA loking to learn a card counting system to make
some money up in Tahoe City and Reno this year. I am wondring what game has
the best odds for us. 2 decks? 1 deck? when can you split? I plan to choose
the game with the best odds and then find a casino with that game. Any
advice on the games that are best would be greatly appreciated. I started
your school today!!!
Thanks, Brendan
Hello, Brendan.
As you get into the course, you'll see that your question isn't easy to
answer. Generally, the fewer the decks used, the better, but you have to
also take into consideration the rules the casino offers, how far they deal
into the deck(s), the bet spread you can get away with and many other
factors. The thing to do now is learn the single-deck Basic Strategy where
there is no double after split and the dealer hits A-6 and then learn how
to count.
Spend some time hanging out at www.bj21.com where you can see what is
posted about the Reno/Tahoe games and, by the time you're ready to go play,
you'll have a good idea of what games are available there. It'll take some
shopping around to find the really good games.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/20/2001
Hello GM
I am a relatively new Blackjack player making my first steps in playing winning BJ. Your site has been a great help and i want to thank you for this. The question I have is this:
I live in Europe so all the games I play for the moment have the "European" rule where the dealer does not have a hole card.
The dealer draws his second card after all the players are finished and if he makes a blackjack he takes all the players bets including splits, doubles, e.t.c.
In a magazine I recently read, it was mentioned that due to this rule the basic strategy of the game should be modified in relation to the basic strategy proposed for American games in the following points:
8-8 with a dealer upcard of 10 and A : Hit instead of split.
A-A with a dealer upcard of A : Hit instead of split.
11 with a dealer upcaed of 10 : Hit instead of double.
Are these proposed changes correct? If this is the case why in every site I have found this european rule is not mentioned anywhere as a rule affecting the basic strategy?
A quick relpy would be appreciated.
KD
Hello, KD.
Yes, those are correct. The easiest way to remember this is to never split or double vs. 10 and Ace, except split A,A against a dealer's up card of 10. You don't see it a lot, because the rule is basically unheard of over here (and, yes, we incorrectly think we're the center of the universe). I know it's mentioned somewhere in my lessons, but don't recall exactly where.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/18/2001
GameMaster,
I'm making a trip to Vegas in a few days. If you call the casino
will they tell you their particular black jack rules (so you can learn the
correct basis strategy) or is something they don't tell you until you are
there? Thanks for all the very interesting articles!
Bobby
Hello, Bobby.
The problem with calling a casino is that you'll very likely reach someone
who hasn't the slightest idea of what the rules actually are. My
recommendation is to go to Stanford Wong's site at www.bj21.com and look at
the sample copy of his "Current Blackjack News" that is posted there.
Although they don't post the current issue, it does list the rules for all
the major casinos in Las Vegas and it'll give you a pretty accurate picture
of the situation.
Good luck and I'm glad you've enjoyed visiting our site.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/18/2001
Hello Sir,
In a 2-deck Blackjack game, do you recommend to play one-on-one with the dealer or with group of players?
If one-on-one, do you count cards on pair basis (my pair and dealers pair) or 3 cards (including his up card)?
Thank you
R.H.
Hello, R.H.
I always count in pairs, whether alone with the dealer or not. The way I do it is to count the dealer's up card and then my cards, or my cards, then the dealer's up card, if s/he doesn't expose it until the end.
In any game where you can get an edge, you'll always be better off playing alone (except, possibly, a single-deck game where you can see the other players' cards.)
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/17/2001
GameMaster,
If I am playing basic strategy and I am using a
betting system, then how can I use card counting.
Card counting bets are low when you have less of a
chance, and high when you have a better chance. How
would I use the card counting sytem and a betting
system at the same time? Would I be able to use only
one system?
Hello, Angelo.
By the term "betting system", I assume you mean some sort of progression
betting where the bet size is based upon the results of the prior hand.
Card counting also includes a "betting system", but it is, as you
mentioned, based upon the probabilities. Consequently, the two don't work
well together, but the progressive-type of betting has no basis in
mathematics, so you'd be better off dropping it. However, if you insist on
continuing to use it, counting is also helpful in playing the hand more
accurately. For example, if the count is high enough, it's sometimes
proper to double a hand of 8 against a dealer's 6, regardless of how much
you have bet. We call these Basic Strategy variations and they're worth
learning.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/17/2001
GM,
I cannot begin to tell you how appreciative I feel about your
site. It is my number one resource guide for integrity in internet casino
play. I would gladly pay to have access rights but amazing as it seems
your service is free.
Your current article on "XXXXXX" Casino, in the blacklist, is incredibly
timely. I just received an unsolicited e-mail from them, only an hour or
two ago. It seems they are currently offering a 300% sign up bonus of some
sort. I read no further and instead went directly to your site for
up-to-date information.
One mouseclick later, I had all the information I needed to avoid
significant loss of time and possibly my own money. I work hard enough for
that stuff already, thank you.
I would be more than happy to copy you with the e-mail I received from them
if you respond to this message directly.
Once again THANK YOU & PLEASE KEEP UP THE GREAT WORK OF KEEPING US INFORMED.
VTY
Roy
Hello, Roy.
Thanks for the compliments. It's really good to hear that we were able to
help you. I deleted the name of the casino to which you refer, because I'd
like to place your nice letter in our GameMaster Advisor section and
conditions at casinos have a way of changing. But, as you said, the best
information we have about various operations will appear on our Blacklist
Page.
Yes, this information is completely free, but we appreciate the support you
show to our advertisers, because they are the ones who make this possible.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/11/2001
GameMaster,
I visited a new casino this past weekend that's about 2 hours north of St.
Louis, located in La Grange, MO just across the bridge from Quincy,lLL.
The Mark Twain Casino is small with only 450 slots and 14 table games but
is very attractive. I found two $25 BJ games with No Mid Shoe Entry and
they also feature Surrender on their BJ games. They don't sweat the money,
offer food comps and the food is great. I enjoy your site!
Bob
Hello, Bob.
Thanks for the info. I have been following that situation in the papers,
but haven't yet gone up there.
Sounds like they have a decent game of Blackjack, so I'll go soon.
Thanks for the nice words about our site.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/8/2001
Hi Mr. BlackJack-teacher,
First of all, I would like to say that I like your tutorial
on Blackjack card-counting. I have been reading some more lecture on
the topic and it is all quite fascinating.
I have also been to Reno and Vegas about a year ago and it is quite
fun overthere, but a bit far away. Gambling in the Netherlands is
pretty rare and it can only be done at the Holland Casino(situated at
every large city or tourist resort). There is an entrance fee of
7,50 for every visit, id-check and the usual dress code but that
shouldn't be a problem.
Now the rules are pretty crippled. I have a small explanation which
they hand out, if asked. Double Down is only allowed at 9,10
or 11. One card after splitting the aces, dealer stands on every 17,
insurance, blackjack pays the usual 150% and you win instantly the
same amount equal of the bet, if you have three sevens, the game
continues normally after that and it is still possible that you tie
or win. Did some calculations and i think that the chances on three
sevens out of one deck are 1:5525 and for eight decks 1:2401.6.
I have been spotting the tables but the number of decks are not
given, the table-minumum is 10 guilders and I have also no clue about
the penetration. Mostly a random player was picked to cut the deck.
Can I estimate the total number of decks? Should I ask? Also I
haven't figured out if resplitting is possible.
As a beginning card-counter I will probably need to practice a bit
with a friend at home. Could you give me some hint on which basic
strategy to use and how the odds are? Maybe you need more details,
or do you have expierences with the HC? Of course I would like to
regain my entrance fee somehow and another stupid thing at the HC is,
drinks are not free.
Thanks and best regards,
M.
Hello, M.
From the information I have, the games in your country are played from 6
decks, the dealer stands on A-6, double only on 9-11, double after
splitting pairs (but only on 9-11), Aces and all other cards may be resplit
up to 3 times, and the dealer does not take a hole card, so both bets are
lost if doubling or splitting against a 10 or Ace, if the dealer gets a
'natural' (European No Hole Card rule). The bonus you mention adds very
little to the return, so the casino's edge is about 0.57%.
One other player option which is, I believe, allowed is "rider" bets. That
means you can stand behind a player at a game and place bets on his or her
hand, as you desire. This is the perfect situation for "back-counting",
because you would place a bet only when it's to your advantage to do so. I
wrote an article about that called "Rider Bets" and you'll find it in the
archives of the GameMaster's Secrets page of my site.
To get the proper Basic Strategy for your game, just go here:
http://www.blackjackinfo.com/, fill out the form with your rules and it
will generate a chart for you.
I appreciate your kind words about our site.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/7/2001
Hello and thanks for such a great site. I am relatively new to
gambling and my game of choice is blackjack. Here is my question.
A local casino offers a promotion called "big ace". You're given a coupon
representing an Ace and you're allowed to play your ace as your first card
at any time. Can you tell me what advantage having an Ace as my first card
gives me? Here are the other blackjack rules of the house:
(1) 6 decks, cut at 1.5 decks
(2) dealer stands at soft 17
(3) no surrender
(4) double any hand
(5) split any two cards
(6) double after split allowed
Thanks for any insight you can give.
Michael
Hello, Michael.
That coupon has considerable value, because the player has an edge of just
over 50% when his first card is an Ace. What that means is, you can expect
to make a profit of 50+% on every bet you make in that situation. Of
course, the casino probably gives you only one coupon at a time (say,
monthly) so you may or may not win that month's hand, but if you were to
get hundreds of these opportunities, in the long run you'd see that you won
at an average rate of 50% each time you used the coupon.
The reason for this is that an Ace is the hard-to-get part of a
"blackjack", which pays 3 to 2. Beyond that, it's also the component of
many doubling hands and overall, it's just a good card to have. For a
comparison, if the player's first card is a 10, s/he has an edge of about
10% on that hand and if the first card is a 6, the player has a
disadvantage of 21%.
If you're a counter, use the coupon when the count is highly "positive" and
that will increase your chances of getting a 10 or another Ace as your
second card. If you have the $$$, you should make a maximum table limit
bet when using the coupon, whether or not you count. If you bet $5, your
expected value is $2.50, but if you bet $200, your expected value is $100.
The fly in the ointment is that this coupon does not guarantee you'll win
the hand, but do it often enough and the odds will be greatly in your
favor. Just remember to keep enough $$$ in reserve in case you have to
split or double.
Thanks so much for the quick response and of course for the very thorough
answer. Although this casino usually only hands these "big aces" out one by
one as somewhat of a comp *and* they're usually only good for the next
calendar day, they just ran an ad in a local paper containing a coupon
version of the "big ace" which is good one per person per day until
9/30/2001. So..I grabbed five of them already & will seek out more today!
The maximum bet is $50. I'm diligently learning to count these days so for
now I think I'll stand back and watch (count)cards in an ongoing game,
choosing to jump in with my big ace when we have a good positive true count.
Thanks again!
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/7/2001
Sir Gamemaster,
Firstly I would like to thank you for your time in answering my question.
Secondly I have just another question I would like to ask if possible.
In Lesson 10: The Proper Mental Attitude: In section; More Hands Mean More
money:
"If you are the only player at a six-deck game, you can play at a rate of
about 200 hands an hour. But I want you to walk away whenever the true
count drops below M1 so 200 hands an hour is possible only if you get one of
those shoes where the count stays positive."
1. If the true count in the shoe remains at -1 all times than obviously the
casino will have an edge over me, TRUE? Meaning I will lose to the casino
if I continue playing.
True.
2. But say I do play solo with the black jack dealer one on one, the chance
of having a shoes where the count stays positive will be hard to acheive
because the true count will constantly rise and fall. But assuming it does
stays positive all the time then that would be good. But 50% of the time
the cards would begin with a TRUE count of -1 or a TRUE count of +1. If you
are suggesting that we should leave a table when it get to a true count of
-1, than HALF the time when we begin our play we would have to leave and lose
to the casino due to the bigger edge the casino have on us before we could
find a dealer which would give us the advantage of a Positive true count
constantly.
In a multi-deck game, it will usually take a few hands before the count falls to -1, but statistics show you will leave a 6-deck game about 70% of the time if a True Count of -1 is the 'trigger' point.
3. My question is that most of the time when I play solo with the dealer,
should I walk away every time the true count gets below -1?
If so then I would lose an edge to the casino, (about 50%) of the time
because I will assume that 50% of the time in the beginning of the game will
reach a True count of -1 and 50% of the time 1 and I will have to leave when
it is -M1 or lower?
If you're playing alone, it's difficult, at best, to leave every time the count drops to -1. What I'm trying to say in my lessons is that you should leave then, but you might not, due to the problems associated with that tactic. If you left every time the count went south, it wouldn't take too long for you to play at each table in the casino and by the time you sat down at the last game, they would have you pegged as a counter.
Like most other situations in life, it all comes down to a compromise. You can get more hands per hour while playing alone, but you'll have to play through some negative shoes. Or, if you wish to never play in negative shoes, you can't play alone most of the time, thus you'll get fewer hands per hour.
4. Or is it better to play with a couple of other people on the table and
just make bets when, say, the TRUE count reaches 1 more more above? Is it
more profitable playing a solo with a black jack dealer or playing only when
the TRUE count reaches 1 but with others on the table?
A lot of this all depends upon the type of game you're playing. If you play, for example, a double-deck game with good rules, deep penetration and you're able to get a big bet spread, then you can probably play "all" (both positive and negative decks). But, if your local game is a six-decker with mediocre rules and penetration, then you'll be much better off to play only when the True Count is 1 or higher. That, of course, precludes playing head-to-head, but as I also say in my lessons, "It's cheaper to walk around, rather than play a game where the casino has an edge."
REGARDS
DAVID
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/7/2001
Hi GM,
I was looking for information on learning to play Baccarat and you
don't have anything. Where do you suggest I look?
Thank you.
Hello.
Sure we have information on playing Baccarat. Go to the "Casino Survival
Guide" page of the site and you'll see it listed there.
Yours for winning,
The GameMaster
8/6/2001
|
|